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NFBC Percentiles After Week 10

Fresh percentiles here for the NFBC’s Main Event, Online Championship, and Draft Champions as of the end of Week 10. First, here’s a quick aggregate below to help illustrate the differences in the MLB run environment between this year and 2023. The table here shows the 80th percentiles across all three contests when averaged out by week for a single team. It’s been a helpful exercise for me this year to keep myself from having meltdowns when my squads routinely fail to pass the 40 R or 40 RBI marks on the week.

ContestYearABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
ME202427838103770.2545252433.331.14
ME202327940113970.2615153433.691.20
OC202428740113970.2555253433.241.12
OC202328642124170.2635254333.721.19
DC202427638103770.2545151433.321.14
DC202327339113870.2615051333.781.21

Below are the full percentiles for each of the NFBC’s three major contests. Thanks to Rob, for the Main Event, I was able to gather the week-by-week standings from 2023. I’ve included where we were after Week 10 last year for comparison. I don’t have the week-to-week standings data for the OC or DC, but for some comparison, I included what the weekly averages were based on end of year standings.

Main Event

2024 Main Event YTD Totals as of Week 10
PercentileABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
100%30314341234481020.27660362253522.560.99
90%2829391106383760.25752953637323.171.12
80%2782379100368690.25451651935283.331.14
70%275037096358630.25150650733253.441.16
60%272336393348600.24849749532233.531.18
50%269335790341570.24649048531213.631.20
40%266435186332530.24448147330193.731.21
30%263534383325500.24147246028173.841.23
20%258833579315470.23846044327143.961.25
10%252332274302430.23344442324114.151.28
0%208327156227240.2173443101515.041.44
2023 Main Event YTD Totals as of Week 10
PercentileABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
100%29314481384531370.28059668249482.641.04
90%2838410113399770.26552654937303.551.18
80%2788398108385700.26151252735273.691.20
70%2752388104376650.25850251133253.801.23
60%2722382100369610.25549449732223.901.25
50%269637497361580.25348748731214.021.27
40%267036694354550.25047847630194.141.28
30%264335891346510.24846746428174.261.30
20%260835087336480.24545745026144.401.32
10%255933782323420.24143742824114.591.36
0%189025861252230.2233543331505.351.52
2024 Main Event Weekly Averages, as of Week 10
PercentileABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
100%303431245100.2766062552.560.99
90%28339113880.2575354433.171.12
80%27838103770.2545252433.331.14
70%27537103660.2515151333.441.16
60%2723693560.2485050323.531.18
50%2693693460.2464949323.631.20
40%2663593350.2444847323.731.21
30%2643483350.2414746323.841.23
20%2593483250.2384644313.961.25
10%2523273040.2334442214.151.28
0%2082762320.2173431205.041.44
2023 Main Event Weekly Averages, as of Week 10
PercentileABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
100%293451445140.2806068552.641.04
90%28441114080.2655355433.551.18
80%27940113970.2615153433.691.20
70%27539103870.2585051333.801.23
60%27238103760.2554950323.901.25
50%27037103660.2534949324.021.27
40%2673793560.2504848324.141.28
30%2643693550.2484746324.261.30
20%2613593450.2454645314.401.32
10%2563483240.2414443214.591.36
0%1892662520.2233533205.351.52
2024 Main Event On-Pace Totals, as of Week 10
PercentileABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
100%8184117233212102750.276162816791431402.560.99
90%7638105628610342040.25714291447100863.171.12
80%751110232709941860.2541394140295763.331.14
70%74259992599661700.2511367136989683.441.16
60%73529802519401620.2481342133786623.531.18
50%72719642439211540.2461324131084573.631.20
40%71939472328961430.2441299127781513.731.21
30%71159262248781350.2411275124276463.841.23
20%69879052138511270.2381242119673383.961.25
10%68138692008151160.2331199114266304.151.28
0%5624732151613650.2179298374135.041.44
2023 Main Event On-Pace Totals, as of Week 10
PercentileABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
100%7914121037312233700.280160818411321302.641.04
90%7662110730510772080.26514201482100813.551.18
80%7528107529210401890.2611383142395733.691.20
70%7430104828110151760.2581356138089683.801.23
60%734910312709961650.2551333134286593.901.25
50%727910102629751570.2531314131584574.021.27
40%72099882549561490.2501290128581514.141.28
30%71369672469341380.2481261125376464.261.30
20%70429452359071300.2451235121570384.401.32
10%69099102218721130.2411181115765304.591.36
0%5103697165680620.2239568994105.351.52

Online Championship

2024 Online Championship YTD Totals, as of Week 10
PercentileABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
100%31074731444781260.28259765952562.400.94
90%2914411113403790.25953655139353.061.09
80%2874399107388720.25552153336313.241.12
70%2843390103377670.25251251935283.351.14
60%281238399368630.25050450833263.451.16
50%278037696360600.24749549632243.551.18
40%274836992351560.24548648531223.641.20
30%271236189342530.24347647229203.741.21
20%266735185330490.23946445728173.871.23
10%259633979314440.23544443626144.041.26
0%183723652227220.2162482301205.131.42
2024 Online Championship Weekly Averages, as of Week 10
PercentileABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
100%311471448130.2826066562.400.94
90%29141114080.2595455443.061.09
80%28740113970.2555253433.241.12
70%28439103870.2525152433.351.14
60%28138103760.2505051333.451.16
50%27838103660.2475050323.551.18
40%2753793560.2454949323.641.20
30%2713693450.2434847323.741.21
20%2673593350.2394646323.871.23
10%2603483140.2354444314.041.26
0%1842452320.2162523105.131.42
2023 Online Championship Weekly Averages, Full Season
PercentileABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
100%304471446120.2815862453.131.08
90%28943124280.2665355433.601.17
80%28642124170.2635254333.721.19
70%28241124070.2615153333.801.21
60%27940113960.2595052333.871.22
50%27740113960.2584950323.941.23
40%27339113860.2564849324.011.24
30%26938103760.2544748324.091.26
20%26537103650.2524546324.181.27
10%25636103550.2494344314.311.30
0%2072962720.2352022104.941.43
2024 Online Championship On-Pace Totals, as of Week 10
PercentileABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
100%8389127738912913400.282161217791401512.400.94
90%7868111030510882130.25914471488105953.061.09
80%7760107728910481940.2551407143997843.241.12
70%7676105327810181810.2521383140195763.351.14
60%759210342679941700.2501361137289703.451.16
50%750610152599721620.2471337133986653.551.18
40%74209962489481510.2451312131084593.641.20
30%73229752409231420.2431285127478543.741.21
20%72019482308911320.2391253123476463.871.23
10%70099152138481190.2351199117769384.041.26
0%4960637140613590.2166706213205.131.42
2023 Online Championship Totals, Full Season
PercentileABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
100%8201126738412553230.281156716681151343.131.08
90%7815115533511252150.2661425149697853.601.17
80%7710112632210991980.2631392145494783.721.19
70%7625110631410771860.2611366142291733.801.21
60%7543108930710591750.2591347139388693.871.22
50%7466106930010411660.2581324136086653.941.23
40%7374105029110211580.2561300133183614.011.24
30%7272102828310011490.2541272129280544.091.26
20%714310042749761390.2521228124676484.181.27
10%69059672609381240.2491158117971364.311.30
0%5591775153729480.2355305893804.941.43

Draft Champions

2024 Draft Champions YTD Totals, as of Week 10
PercentileABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
100%30744711344601130.27761665851562.510.99
90%2819388105382740.25852753337323.161.12
80%276437599365670.25451251135283.321.14
70%272336695355620.25150049633253.441.16
60%268535791345580.24848848331233.541.18
50%264935088336550.24647747130213.641.20
40%261034285328520.24346645828183.741.22
30%256433482317480.24145344327163.851.24
20%250732478306440.23843742525133.981.26
10%242531072290400.2334134002394.181.29
0%161121340169160.213217220905.381.55
2024 Draft Champions Weekly Averages, as of Week 10
PercentileABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
100%307471346110.2776266562.510.99
90%28239113870.2585353433.161.12
80%27638103770.2545151433.321.14
70%27237103660.2515050333.441.16
60%2693693560.2484948323.541.18
50%2653593460.2464847323.641.20
40%2613493350.2434746323.741.22
30%2563383250.2414544323.851.24
20%2513283140.2384443313.981.26
10%2423172940.2334140214.181.29
0%1612141720.2132222105.381.55
2023 Draft Champions Weekly Averages, Full Season
PercentileABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
100%295461446120.2796062453.071.08
90%27740123970.2645153333.661.19
80%27339113870.2615051333.781.21
70%26938113760.2594949323.871.22
60%26538103760.2574748323.951.24
50%26237103660.2554647324.021.25
40%25836103550.2544546324.101.26
30%2533593450.2524444324.181.27
20%2473493350.2494242314.281.29
10%2373393240.2474040214.411.32
0%1572342120.2302118105.191.50
2024 Draft Champions On-Pace Totals, as of Week 10
PercentileABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
100%8300127236212423050.277166417771381512.510.99
90%7611104828410312000.25814241439100863.161.12
80%746310132679861810.2541382138095763.321.14
70%73539882579591670.2511350133989683.441.16
60%72509642469321570.2481318130484623.541.18
50%71519452389071490.2461288127281573.641.20
40%70479232308861400.2431259123676493.741.22
30%69239022218561300.2411223119673433.851.24
20%67698752118261190.2381180114868353.981.26
10%65478371947831080.2331115108062244.181.29
0%4350575108456430.2135865942405.381.55
2023 Draft Champions Totals, Full Season
PercentileABRHRRBISBBAIPKWSVERAWHIP
100%7956125438412313290.279162516821161303.071.08
90%7481108731210622000.2641385142993823.661.19
80%7363105829910301830.2611343137289743.781.21
70%7258103628910071700.2591310133385673.871.22
60%716410182819861600.2571281129882613.951.24
50%70699982739661500.2551251126479554.021.25
40%69659782659471410.2541219122976504.101.26
30%68449542569251320.2521185119073444.181.27
20%66779252468941220.2491143114270384.281.29
10%64088842328511090.2471069107164284.411.32
0%4235611115574460.2305564882705.191.50

Written by Bryan Fitzgerald

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