Post-Week 13 NFBC Percentiles and SGP

Happy Monday! Hopefully you’ve avoided the onslaught on early week injury news and had some decent bench options to sub in if you got dinged. Here is where we stand for the 80th percentiles after Week 13 in the NFBC’s Main Event, Online Championship, and Draft Champions contests.

Home runs went up pretty decently in all three! One of the bigger jumps we’ve had there all year. Ditto with runs. HR, R, and RBI are all coming to life a bit more as we head into summer, but are well off last year’s pace.

If you’re interested in the actual percentiles for each contest, see this chart here: Post-Week 13 NFBC Percentiles. This is the best source to use to see what exact percentiles your own teams are currently at.

The 80th percentile for each contest over the past three weeks is listed below, averaged out to a full-season pace to better capture the overall movement. 2023’s ME after Week 13 is included as well for comparison.

2024 Main Event On-Pace, 80th Percentile
	AB	R	HR	RBI	SB	BA	IP	K	W	SV	ERA	WHIP
Week 11	7524	1026	272	995	189	0.254	1390	1397	96	76	3.35	1.14
Week 12	7524	1026	272	999	189	0.254	1395	1391	97	75	3.38	1.15
Week 13	7521	1034	280	999	187	0.255	1396	1394	96	77	3.43	1.15
2023 Main Event On-Pace, 80th Percentile
	AB	R	HR	RBI	SB	BA	IP	K	W	SV	ERA	WHIP
Week 11	7535	1070	292	1038	189	0.260	1393	1426	96	74	3.71	1.21
Week 12	7561	1076	293	1046	189	0.261	1389	1424	95	72	3.74	1.21
Week 13	7581	1078	293	1047	191	0.261	1397	1437	96	75	3.71	1.21
2024 Online Championship On-Pace, 80th Percentile
	AB	R	HR	RBI	SB	BA	IP	K	W	SV	ERA	WHIP
Week 11	7778	1082	290	1046	196	0.255	1406	1438	98	83	3.26	1.12
Week 12	7778	1082	293	1049	198	0.255	1409	1436	101	83	3.29	1.12
Week 13	7778	1090	297	1057	195	0.257	1412	1433	100	85	3.34	1.13
2024 Draft Champions On-Pace, 80th Percentile
	AB	R	HR	RBI	SB	BA	IP	K	W	SV	ERA	WHIP
Week 11	7479	1016	270	989	184	0.253	1377	1377	93	76	3.37	1.14
Week 12	7486	1017	270	990	185	0.254	1384	1375	95	77	3.39	1.15
Week 13	7477	1024	276	993	181	0.255	1385	1375	93	77	3.43	1.15

Below is a chart of where we’re currently at with SGP for the Main Event, with 2023 for comparison. If you’re unfamiliar with SGP or the concept of relative SGP, see Tanner Bell’s fantastic, in-depth explainer here: https://www.smartfantasybaseball.com/2016/01/how-to-analyze-sgp-denominators-from-different-sources/

Short version on relative SGP – It uses a common denominator (RBI for offense, K for pitching) to view SGP from different sources and league sizes on the same scale. Note that all numbers are based on SGP for the Overall Standings.

	2024 Main Event SGP (Week 13)
	R	HR	RBI	SB	BA	K	W	SV	ERA	WHIP
Raw	0.130	0.0594	0.152	0.0611	0.0000331	0.226	0.0242	0.0411	-0.00138	-0.000246
Relative	0.861	0.392	1.00	0.404	0.000219	1.00	0.107	0.182	-0.00611	-0.001090
	2023 Main Event SGP (Week 13)
	R	HR	RBI	SB	BA	K	W	SV	ERA	WHIP
Raw	0.146	0.063	0.149	0.0752	0.0000364	0.250	0.0271	0.0441	-0.00158	-0.000264
Relative	0.979	0.420	1.00	0.496	0.000240	1.00	0.120	0.195	-0.00702	-0.001169

Hit me up with any questions or suggestions on X: https://twitter.com/CoachFitzSD