Go The Distance: Spring Training Notes from 3/6-3/7

3/7 

• Dylan Carlson ADP 331 in DC last 2 weeks/ -DH’ing (sore arm) hits his 2nd HR of the spring. 7 RBI in 15 ab with no walks and 6 K’s
• Nolan Gorman ADP 367 in DC last 2 weeks-  goes 2-2 with a HR/BB. 2nd homer now has 5 k’s/3 bb in 17 AB
• NIck Maton ADP 597, OF only  3-3 batting 2nd. 2bb/4 k with 2HR this spring
• Riley Greene continues to lift the ball with authority. This was never the problem for him, it was mostly about not hitting so many ground balls. (insert pic). Of his 12 statcast batted balls this spring, 10 have gone for 90 MPH or higher. Only 2 of them were GB’s
• Andre Lipcius (lip-see-us) 2-3 HR 7-15 3 HR 0 bb/2 k has played 1b/2b/3b in ST
• Matthew Boyd ADP 453- 3 ip 1h 1er 7 k/0 bb
  • 23 swings, 9 whiffs 39%whiff
  • 44% CSW
  • 4sm change slider all got 7 swings 3 whiffs
  • 40% o-swing 65% z-ct
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• Garrett Hill is showing velo bump- that’s from his overall velo- but he had this velo as a reliever last year. Still wild but effective so far this spring. Sneaky closer candidate if he does not return to the starting rotation?
  • 30% whiff, 67% z-ct, 55% 0-swing
• Kikuchi ADP 454/ only been drafted in 6 of 25 OC’s-12 team w/ FAAB)- 3 ip 2 bb/ 2k 51 pitches
  • Changeup is 1.4 mph harder with +440 rpm spin from last year
  • 40% whiff 29% csw 67% z-ct
  • Last years changeup heat map
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  • Yesterday’s changeup heat map vs RHB
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• Mitch Keller 3 ip 3h 3k
  • Threw the new cutter 10 times. 8 swings 1 whiff, 10% CSW, 86% z-ct
  • Overall 16% whiff and 30% CSW
• Grayson Rodriguez threw 55 pitches in 2 ⅔ IP with 2BB/4K, HR allowed
  • Only got 1 swing out of the zone, 23% whiff 
• Kenta Meada ADP 295 DC/268 IN OC-threw 57 pitches in 2 ⅔ IP 3 hits, 4BB/zero K’s
  • Sitting 89.6 MPH on 4 seamer. 
  • 17 swings, 1 whiff (6%), 100% z-ct
• Colton Cowser was 0-2 with 2 runs 2BB/1K
  • He has 11 at bats this spring with 7 walks and 6 k’s. He will be up at some point this season pushing Cedric Mullins or Austin Hays. 
• Ryan Jeffers ADP 545 DC- 2-2 with 2 doubles. He has 3 extra base hits this spring. In a draft and hold, lock him up as your catcher #3
• CJ Abrams leading off with Lane Thomas batting 2nd for the 2nd time in last 3 games
• Mackenzie Gore ADP 351 in DC’s  3IP 3H 1ER 1BB/1K on 35 pitches
  • 25% whiff, 31% CSW
• Alex Colome ADP 747 entered the game in the 4th following Gore
• E Cabrera 3 IP 3H 1ER 1BB/2K on 44 pitches
  • 27% whiff, 32% CSW
  • 4SM- 6 swings zero whiffs, 1 called strike for 8% CSW
  • It was all over the place
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• Shintaro Fujinami ADP 445/only drafted in 2 of last 25 OC’s- 3IP 1H 1ER 2BB/3K on 52 pitches
  • Threw the 4SM 44% with 10 swings, 5 whiffs, 35% CSW and 63% z-ct
  • Overall 32% whiff 29% CSW
• Zac Gallen 2IP 3H 4ER 4BB/1K on 62 pitches
  • Down 2 MPH on 4SM and 1.4 MPH on cutter
  • Overall 26 swings, 6 whiffs 23% whiff, 23% CSW
• Aledmys Diaz ADP 416 DC- 3-4 4RBI. He has only played SS this spring. 
• Esteury Ruiz batted 9th. He has batted 1st or 9th this spring
• Isan Diaz ADP 747- 2-3 2 RBI
  • He is getting looks at 2B/SS and usually batting in the top half (5/3/3/1/3)
• Graham Ashcraft 3IP 3H 2ER 1BB/2K
  • https://www.mlb.com/news/graham-ashcraft-setting-goals-for-each-start-with-reds?game_pk=719232
• Corey Seager looks great with his 3rd jack
• Bubba Thompson ADP 383/343 in OC only drafted in 11 of 25 leagues- 2-3 HR- with Leody Tavares out for possibly the start of the season Bubba will see his draft price rise.
• Kyle Harrison got hammered for 5H 5ER in 1 ⅔ IP 1BB/2K
• Adrian Sampson got rocked 2 ⅔ IP 4H 6ER 2Bb/2K- he should not be one of the top 5 Cubs SP’s
• Adbert Alzolay was the first reliever out of the pen and went 1 ⅓ IP 1BB/2K
• Garrett MitchelbADP 273/252 in OC-hit his 3rd spring homer. He is 6-17 this spring with 5K, no walks. He has led off in every game he has started
• Corbin Burnes 3IP 6H 2ER 1BB, ZERO K’s
  • I have concerns for Burnes as a consensus overall number 1 or 2 SP. He is a very good pitcher no doubt. A chart of some his skills in graph form:
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• Oscar Colas ADP 319 DC-278 in OC’s- 2-3 2R 1BB. 
  • 9-21 1Bb/1K this spring while going 1-2 on the bases. He only stole 3 bases in the minors last year but  he was quoted as saying that the coach told him he has good legs and they want him to use it. 
  • Here is Elvis Andrus on him : https://twitter.com/NBCSWhiteSox/status/1633218157493075970?s=20
• Rougned Odor ADP 723 drafted only 3 out of 15 drafts)-stole 2 bases for the Padres. Right now he is the bench bat listed on Roster Resource. 
• Seth Lugo ADP 504- went 3 ⅓ IP 7 H 0ER 1Bb/5K
• Carlos Carrasco 3IP 4H 1ER 0BB/2K. His velo was down last start, no statcast here but i would not shy away from drafting him at the moment
• Tylor Megill 2 ⅓ IP 1H 2BB/3K. See if he can ramp up to starter length. David Peterson is fine after getting hit in the foot with a ball and should be up first before Megill. 
• Triston Casas 2-3 2R RBI, BB. 8-18 this spring with 1HR 2BB/4K